IOM Ukraine Internal Displacement Report: General Population Survey - Round 12 (23 January 2023) [EN/UK]

KEY FINDINGS

As of 23 January, IOM estimates 5.4 million IDPs are displaced across Ukraine. This represents a decrease compared to 5.9 million as of 5 December 2022. The estimated number of IDPs in Ukraine has been steadily declining since August 2022 (Round 8).
Eleven months into the war in Ukraine, protracted displacement is becoming more prevalent. As of 23 January, 58 per cent of all IDPs have been displaced for six months or more. However, the crisis remains dynamic with 12 per cent of IDPs (equivalent to 640,000 people) becoming displaced in the past two months.
Among the current displaced population, 29 per cent were reportedly considering leaving their current location in the coming weeks (an estimated 1.55 million individuals, a 3% decrease from Round 11), inclusive of 5 per cent of IDPs who were planning to return in the 2 weeks following the survey (eq. 268,000 nationwide). It is notable that significantly fewer IDPs intend to return in the next two weeks than in earlier survey rounds (5% compared to 10% as of 5 December 2022).
Among all respondents already considering movement, 57 per cent consider relocation within Ukraine, while 26 per cent are considering to move abroad (compared with 20% in December 2022). Among those considering a move abroad currently, 56% indicated a country within the European Union, with Poland and Germany mentioned most frequently by respondents.
IDP income sources have been severely impacted by the war.
Around one in four IDP respondents stated that monthly livelihood cash assistance for IDPs was their primary source of household income (24%). The vast majority (72%) of IDPs who rely on social assistance reported a total household income which – when divided by the number of people in the household – was equal to or less than UAH 2,500 (i.e. the subsistence minimum poverty line as of January 2023).
Since July 2022, there has been a steady decrease in the proportion of IDPs that consider their shelter to be inadequate for winter from 26 per cent (Round 7) to 16 per cent (September 2022, Round 8) to 10 per cent in January 2023. This may signify that the arrival of winter did inform re-displacement movements to more adequate dwellings, or that effective repairs took place. However, 38 per cent of IDPs indicated that they did not have sufficient funds to rent or pay for housing through the remaining winter months.