the economist
Subscribe
Log in
Log in to
The Economist
New to
The Economist
?
Register now
Manage my subscription
Share Edition
share icon
The World If is an annual collection of scenarios in the fields of politics, business, technology and history. Just suppose…
Click to reveal the cover
Politics
If France’s reforms succeeded
Suppose France’s president manages to transform his country and his continent
Politics
If Thailand had a reformed monarchy
The benefits—including, in the long run, for the monarchy itself—would be huge
Politics
If Donald Trump won a second term
His opponents dreamed of impeaching Donald Trump, then of defeating him. Now they are adjusting to four more years of his presidency. We assess its first six months
Politics
If borders were open
Yes, it would be disruptive. But the potential gains are so vast that objectors could be bribed to let it happen
Business & Economics
If a universal basic income took off
Fears that smarter machines will threaten jobs and stability have led some to suggest that government should give a basic income to all. Suppose the idea spreads
Business & Economics
If blockchains ran the world
The trust business is little noticed but huge. Startups deploying blockchain technology threaten to disrupt it, and much else besides
Business & Economics
If advisers followed a fiduciary rule
Why consumers of financial and other services may need more protection
Business & Economics
If governments did not exist
Angus Deaton, a Nobel prize-winning economist, explores a question that intrigued him
Business & Economics
If Britain became Singapore-on-Thames
After crashing out of the European Union, Britain tries an alternative economic model. The experiment is proving painful
Science & Technology
If human cloning happened
It started with sheep. Suppose cloning became routine for people
Science & Technology
If America lost its electricity
For rich countries, prolonged loss of electricity is a low-probability event. But the scale of the potential impact is mind-concentrating
Science & Technology
If the universe was not “fine-tuned”
The constants of nature are among the things you just do not want to mess with
Science & Technology
If we could control the weather
History
If the Ottoman Empire had not collapsed
Imagine the mayhem that might have been avoided had the Ottoman Empire been saved rather than sunk. Blame, among others, Winston Churchill
2016
Edition
Politics
IF DONALD TRUMP WAS PRESIDENT
How a made-for-TV foreign policy triggered real-world crises
Politics
If states traded territory
A way to solve some of the world’s trickiest problems
Politics
If the North Korean regime collapsed
America and China have done too little planning for a Korean crisis
Politics
If terrorists got hold of a nuclear weapon
Three scenarios illustrate the threat of a nuclear device in rogue hands
Politics
Talking hypothetically
A podcast on the 2016 edition of "The World If"
Business & Economics
If economists reformed themselves
Reforming economists’ tools, temperament and training could help to mitigate, if not to prevent, the next crisis
Business & Economics
If China embarked on mass privatisation
How China sells its state-owned enterprises matters as much as whether it does
Business & Economics
If financial systems were hacked
Recent attacks give a glimpse of the sort of cyber-assault that could bring the world economy to a halt. Better defences are needed
Business & Economics
Data snapshots
Science & Technology
If computers wrote laws
Might future law-school graduates look to machines rather than the judges, rules and standards that have underpinned the legal system?
Science & Technology
If the ocean was transparent
The ability to peer unhindered into the deep would reveal a host of wonders—and have huge practical consequences
Science & Technology
If everyone had a personal drone
History
What if Germany had not reunified
Joining East and West together within NATO and the European Union was the worst option, except for all the others
2015
Edition
Politics
If Hillary Clinton is president
She won the election by leaning right on national security and left on the economy. Now comes the fallout
Politics
If Russia breaks up
The world rightly worries about the prospect of a Greater Russia. But a Lesser Russia could be just as troubling
Politics
If a NATO member comes under attack
How the West would recognise, and respond to, a Russian offensive
Politics
If lying made your nose grow
Politics
Data snapshots
Business & Economics
If the yuan competes with the dollar
The yuan’s rise will challenge America, but not before China changes
Business & Economics
If the world introduces a “Piketty tax”
Thomas Piketty, a superstar economist, favours the introduction of a global wealth tax. Its impact might be surprisingly small
Business & Economics
If the Panama Canal gets a rival
Why a Chinese firm might dig a giant waterway through America’s backyard
Business & Economics
Slower growth - disaster or blessing?
If the rich world aimed for minimal growth, would it be a disaster or a blessing?
Business & Economics
If Africa banks its demographic dividend
The difference economic reforms could make for Africa
Science & Technology
If autonomous vehicles rule the world
Overturning industries and redefining urban life, self-driving cars promise to be as disruptive and transformative a technology as the mobile phone
Science & Technology
If an asteroid heads for Earth
Just because you can move the stars in their courses, it doesn’t mean you should
Science & Technology
If India’s monsoon fails
A more erratic rainy season in India could lead to mass famine. But there are ways to avoid such a disaster
Science & Technology
If every woman has a smartphone
Smartphones could transform women’s lives, says Melinda Gates, co-chair, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Science & Technology
If malaria drugs stop working
History
Post-war China, alternatively
What if Mao Zedong’s Communist Party had lost the Chinese civil war to Chiang Kai-shek’s Nationalist Party?
History
How fiction paints histories of the future
Photo credits
camera icon